By DAVID MOON, Moon Capital
Management January 21, 2001
Gathered around a huge conference table in the Ronald Reagan Building in
downtown Los Angeles a few days ago, a group of state and federal governmental
officials made a declaration the building's namesake would have found laughable,
if not for the gravity of the situation. These bureaucrats, working on the
California energy crisis, declared, 'we're from the government and we're here to
help.' Whether as California governor or U.S. president, Reagan would have
known that the government is actually the root of the current California energy
problem; not a long-term solution.
Current California governor, Gray Davis, addressed his state legislature and
blamed the crisis on the 1996 deregulation of the power market. That
argument is flawed in several ways. The California power market was never
really deregulated. The wholesale portion of the power market was somewhat
deregulated, allowing a more free reign in what utility wholesalers could charge
for the power they provide to local utility companies. The local
companies, however, remained limited (regulated) in what they could charge their
customers. This was a simple recipe for disaster.
Wholesaler deregulation allowed the wholesale price for California
electricity to increase, while the state still capped the retail prices charged
to the consumers. The heavy regulatory burden in the state makes it
difficult to build new power plants, so the supply of power is practically
limited. Fixed supplies, combined with steady increases in demand and
increasing wholesale prices squeezed the retailers, who could not increase the
prices they charge consumers.
If the power markets were truly deregulated and the retailers could increase
their prices, a couple of things would happen. As the price of electricity
increases, it becomes more economically feasible to meet the high regulatory
hurdles to build new power plants. With more profit to be made, the
private sector would build new plants and provide more capacity. With
profit capped by the government, there is no incentive to create more
product.
Higher retail prices also force consumers to self-ration. People and
businesses have to decide if their electricity uses justify the new, higher
prices. Is this logic insensitive? Perhaps, but consider the
alternative. When the supply is limited, unrestrained demand will cause
eventual shortages. That is what is happening in California today.
These shortages were caused by the government ' and now the government wants to
step in and solve the situation. Someone help us, please. Governor
Davis wants the state to become the de facto wholesaler, buying energy at these
high prices and selling it to the retailers at lower prices. At the same
time, he plans to urge residents to cut their electricity demand by 7 to 10
percent. The best way to 'urge' consumer to reduce their usage is to let
the market urge them.
Davis recommends that the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission impose
wholesale price controls. Do they ever learn? Price controls were a
part of the original cause of this problem. California senator Diane
Feinstein, plans to propose legislation giving the U.S. energy secretary the
authority to freeze wholesale prices if there is 'unjust pricing.' Who
decides if pricing is 'unjust?'
These are the problems when government tries to control an industry.
These government agencies seem to only want more power ' political, not
electric. Sadly, the people who run California and these federal energy
agencies may actually believe that they are the solution and not the
problem. Whatever their motivations, none of Ronald Reagan's market-based
solutions rubbed off during the meeting.
David Moon is president of Moon Capital Management, a
Knoxville-based investment management firm. This article
originally appeared in the News Sentinel (Knoxville, TN).
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