By DAVID MOON, Moon Capital
Management January 12, 2003
The cornerstone of President Bush's new economic stimulus package is an
elimination of the personal income tax individuals pay on the corporate
dividends they receive. Supporters, such as CNBC's madcap, Jim Cramer,
hail it as the 'solution we've been needing to get this economy moving
again.' Critics like the New York Times call it handouts for the rich,
describing it as the 'Charles Schwab tax cut.' Both are wrong.
When politics and economics are intertwined, it is difficult to differentiate
from people's stated and actual intentions. If the President or his
economic advisors really believe that eliminating the taxes on dividends will
propel the economy in 2003, they are less competent than even their critics will
grant. Regardless of the impact of this tax elimination, it will not have
any discernable impact on the economy this year.
By midweek, half of the political spinmeisters labeled this tax cut as a
windfall for the top one percent of wage earners. Supporters countered
that more than 90 million Americans would directly benefit from Bush's plan,
each receiving about 1,000 dollars a year in tax relief. I really don't
care which camp is more accurate; eliminating the tax on dividends is the right
thing to do. The impact won't be immediate, but it will help the
economy.
When a corporation makes money, it has three general options of what to do
with those profits. But first, the company must pay taxes on those
earnings. Then it can keep them and reinvest them into the business.
Or it can pay down debt and make other types of changes to its balance sheet and
capital structure. Or it can pass along those profits to the shareholders
in the form of dividends. In reality, each of these three options is
'passing along those profits to the shareholders,' because the shareholders get
the benefit of that accumulated capital, regardless of how the company chooses
to deploy it. And in each case, the corporation pays income tax on those
earnings. But if the corporation decides to return the money to the
shareholders in the form of dividends, the profits are taxed a second time at
the individual level, increasing the effective cost of capital for those
businesses and their owners.
Anything we do to lower the cost of capital increases the effectiveness and
productivity of the overall economy. Increasing the output of the overall
economy is the only way to create real gains for the entire economy.
Extending unemployment benefits may be humane and it does provide some people
their only safety net. But shifting money from one group of citizens to
another does nothing to increase the size of the overall economic pie.
Lasting and widespread economic improvement occurs when the entire pie
grows. That will be the effect of eliminating the taxes on corporate
dividends.
All economic progress is the result of the application and allocation of the
four forms of capital: natural resources, labor, money and human
ingenuity. In order to permanently improve anyone's economic situation, we
must apply more of one of these four factors of production. If you want to
make more money, you need to strike oil, work harder, invest in something
productive or successfully execute a new business idea. If a business
wants to make more money, it has to do the same thing. So does a
country. Anything that reduces the cost of any of these forms of capital
improves both their efficiency and effectiveness.
If one of the frictional costs of corporate profits is eliminated, the cost
of that capital is reduced. The fact that dividends are already taxed once
only makes this a logical place to reduce capital costs. Based on what the
politicians are saying, it seems they are doing the right thing ' but for the
wrong reason.
David Moon is president of Moon Capital Management, a
Knoxville-based investment management firm. This article
originally appeared in the News Sentinel (Knoxville, TN).
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